Kaleidoscopic-Gallery
0x4a8ce4bc517565227fd9e123fee36d59e76c63ba
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-272.35
Realised
$-0.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
909 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Was Kanye hacked?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?
172 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will anyone say "New York" or "New Yorker" 45+ times during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?
140 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
132 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the ECB announce no change at the September meeting?
83 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-3.97
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
48 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$4.35Jan 30, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$25.00Jan 30, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 24, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$5.00Jan 1, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$35.35Dec 11, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$18.74Dec 9, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Oct 26, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?$18.84Oct 26, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?$10.00Oct 26, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "New York" or "New Yorker" 45+ times during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?$7.00Oct 22, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 9, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$2.00Oct 6, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$200.00Sep 29, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Mars" during his announcement on September 2?$2.85Sep 2, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?$2.22Sep 2, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on August 31?$1.00Aug 30, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation increase by 2.6% or less in August?$1.57Aug 29, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWas Kanye hacked?$5.00Aug 26, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$2.00Aug 25, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?$1.60Aug 25, 08:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $11.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 18:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 30, 20:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.