Happy-Precedence
0x4a91ee3ef8d4257dac7b758eccf46950acb1983f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.4K
Realised
$-44.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 27?
1673 shares @ 94.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on April 30?
1086 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 2?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 2?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or higher on May 2?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on May 3?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on April 28?
523 shares @ 96.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-504.29
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 10?
519 shares @ 94.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-492.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 3?
400 shares @ 24.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-99.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?
400 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-29.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 12?$200.00Jun 12, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 12?$69.00Jun 12, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 12?$97.50Jun 11, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 12?$97.42Jun 11, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 12?$67.69Jun 11, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 8?$100.00Jun 8, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 8?$9.48Jun 7, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 8?$24.00Jun 7, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 8?$5.30Jun 7, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 8?$57.32Jun 7, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 6, 2026?$30.00Jun 7, 05:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 6?$250.49Jun 6, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 6?$54.26Jun 6, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 6?$183.80Jun 6, 01:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 5?$131.34Jun 5, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 6, 2026?$28.79Jun 5, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 5?$127.24Jun 5, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 3?$159.99Jun 4, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 3?$9.67Jun 3, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 3?$146.71Jun 3, 00:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $48.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 01:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 22:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.