Guilty-Parser-Alarm
0x4a95e1b52ebbada26b92b35feb497df1c6348c70
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$36.30
Total PnL
$-37.91
Realised
$-0.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Exact Score: Singapore 3 - 2 China PR?
167 shares @ 2.4¢·now 4.2¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$6.92
$2.92
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$5.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
116 shares @ 4.3¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.59
$-0.41
- YES
Exact Score: Singapore 1 - 0 China PR?
62 shares @ 6.4¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$3.29
$-0.71
- YES
Exact Score: Singapore 2 - 1 China PR?
57 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$2.92
$-1.08
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
47 shares @ 4.4¢·now 4.2¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$1.97
$-0.10
- NO
Will Mark Baisley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Colorado?
50 shares @ 3.8¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.52
$-0.40
- NO
Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.07
$-0.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
17 shares @ 6.1¢·now 6.4¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$1.07
$0.05
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.05
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$1.10Jun 5, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Singapore 1 - 2 China PR?$62.27Jun 5, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$1.05Jun 5, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 5?$1.69Jun 5, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 5?$1.05Jun 5, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 5?$0.73Jun 5, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Lavked vs MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner$1.07Jun 5, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Lavked vs MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner$1.03Jun 5, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Lavked vs MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner$1.06Jun 5, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Lavked vs MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner$1.09Jun 5, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Lavked vs MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner$1.02Jun 5, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Lavked vs MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner$1.06Jun 5, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Lavked vs MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner$1.02Jun 5, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Lavked vs MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner$1.09Jun 5, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Singapore 2 - 1 China PR?$2.06Jun 5, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Singapore 1 - 0 China PR?$2.06Jun 5, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$1.08Jun 5, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 5?$1.07Jun 5, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 5?$1.98Jun 5, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 5?$1.09Jun 5, 09:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 05:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 13:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".