Secondary-Probation
0x4a97bcf7835db53f37db688a69cc2dce948a9e7b
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$20.20
Total PnL
$-443.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 4?
20 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$20.20
$1.01
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on February 18?
317 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-28.25
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on February 3?
270 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-110.70
- NO
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 2 above $3.50?
228 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.62
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,500 on January 17?
226 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-31.25
- YES
Will the price of Solana be less than $60 on February 10?
210 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.78
- XAVIER MUSKETEERS
Xavier Musketeers vs. Connecticut Huskies (W)
199 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.37
- YES
Will "Crazy, Stupid, Love" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 3)
185 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.92
- YES
Will Ethena dip to $0.12 in January?
177 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-13.49
- YES
Will Star Black win the GA-14 special election?
173 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 4?$19.26May 30, 00:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Arirang - BTS" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of April 18?$390.77Apr 14, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: New York City FC (-2.5)$15.73Apr 13, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Arirang - BTS" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of April 18?$363.42Apr 8, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close at $250-$255 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3?$248.42Apr 7, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMOxford United FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5$304.45Apr 5, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close at $250-$255 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3?$196.25Mar 30, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fukushima United FC win on 2026-03-29?$154.77Mar 30, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYOxford United FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5$222.25Mar 29, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) close at $630-$640 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?$267.84Mar 29, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fukushima United FC win on 2026-03-29?$134.65Mar 24, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close at $315-$320 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?$11.52Mar 24, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 16 - March 22 be between 17,500,000 and 18,000,000?$115.97Mar 23, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close at $630-$640 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?$243.73Mar 23, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMPohang Steelers FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 3.5$279.27Mar 22, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 16 - March 22 be between 17,500,000 and 18,000,000?$102.05Mar 19, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYPohang Steelers FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 3.5$203.87Mar 19, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on February 18?$28.25Feb 17, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on February 17?$3.26Feb 16, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Homefront" be the top global Netflix movie this week?$1.58Feb 14, 20:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $59.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 04:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 00:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".