Verifiable-Percent
0x4a9d8124e631e62c94852770c76042c6910775ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$255.98
Total PnL
$-270.87
Realised
$-6.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
110 shares @ 92.4¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$102.14
$0.49
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
100 shares @ 86.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$90.50
$4.50
- YES
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?
6665 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$63.32
$3.33
- YES
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?
3 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.02
$-0.00
- YES
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?
8033 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-16.07
- YES
Will Ugo Humbert win the 2025 US Open?
1143 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.14
- NO
TikTok sale announced by March 31?
200 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-128.00
- NO
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
130 shares @ 98.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-127.79
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?$61.77May 29, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.06May 29, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$21.00May 29, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$40.00May 29, 09:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $59.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 02:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.