Organic-Fly
0x4aa176b8206886a25fff58d2df77a0ca78ec596c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-198.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on April 29?
129 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 28?
75 shares @ 85.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-64.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 5?
30 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 2?
30 shares @ 66.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 27?
30 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-21.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 7?
30 shares @ 72.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-21.87
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 7?
30 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-8.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on April 30?
20 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on May 1?
20 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on May 3?
20 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 3?$20.00Jun 4, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 3?$17.20Jun 3, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 2?$30.00Jun 3, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 2?$0.52Jun 2, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 2?$24.68Jun 2, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 29?$0.30May 29, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 29?$1.24May 29, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 29?$0.04May 29, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 29?$2.71May 29, 09:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on May 28?$10.00May 29, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on May 28?$50.54May 29, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on May 28?$15.80May 28, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 28?$4.12May 28, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 28?$16.80May 28, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 28?$13.50May 28, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on May 28?$18.00May 28, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 28?$11.31May 28, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 28?$8.99May 28, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 28?$1.96May 28, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 28?$5.67May 28, 09:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $8.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 14:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 08:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.