Lasting-Warlord
0x4aa2cb8c3b363b5198f1eeaa19ad86710c299593
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.2K
Realised
$-167.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
11360 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-95.89
- YES
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League?
10000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-109.99
- YES
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?
8600 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-325.99
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
5000 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-122.60
- YES
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
4657 shares @ 39.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 20?
1200 shares @ 47.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-566.00
- YES
Will Verizon Communications (VZ) beat quarterly earnings?
1050 shares @ 68.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-720.20
- YES
Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?
1005 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?
800 shares @ 37.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-300.84
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
725 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-49.02
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$291.10Apr 14, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.3KApr 14, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Gap (GAP) beat quarterly earnings?$4.5KNov 20, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Gap (GAP) beat quarterly earnings?$1.4KNov 20, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Gap (GAP) beat quarterly earnings?$465.00Nov 20, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Gap (GAP) beat quarterly earnings?$526.41Nov 20, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 20?$336.00Nov 20, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 20?$144.00Nov 20, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Gap (GAP) beat quarterly earnings?$95.50Nov 20, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Gap (GAP) beat quarterly earnings?$37.03Nov 20, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?$6.39Nov 20, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$258.00Nov 20, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League?$50.00Nov 20, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$95.99Nov 20, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?$200.00Nov 20, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Gap (GAP) beat quarterly earnings?$115.98Nov 20, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?$41.60Nov 20, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Gap (GAP) beat quarterly earnings?$96.00Nov 20, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Gap (GAP) beat quarterly earnings?$386.20Nov 20, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 20?$86.00Nov 20, 13:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $326.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 9, 22:51 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 21:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".