Notable-Sprout
0x4aa3362b8034649543c50f4ddad0ac8aba0d1b45
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$10.58
Total PnL
$0.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?
1 shares @ 93.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$1.40
$0.10
- NO
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.35
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on April 6?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$1.31
$0.01
- NO
Will Our Country (ND) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.2¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.31
$0.01
- NO
Will the Democrats (D) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- NO
Will Mark Hubbard finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Valero Texas Open?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- NO
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win 35-39 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- NO
Will "SWIM - BTS" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of April 11?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$1.30
$0.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" during Monday news conference?$1.41Apr 7, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 47 and 50 million views on day 2?$1.69Apr 7, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" during Monday news conference?$1.30Apr 6, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on April 6?$1.30Apr 6, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$1.32Apr 6, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 47 and 50 million views on day 2?$1.30Apr 6, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "SWIM - BTS" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of April 11?$1.30Apr 6, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Hubbard finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Valero Texas Open?$1.30Apr 5, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 10–15%?$1.32Mar 30, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jean-Philippe Veter be the next mayor of Strasbourg?$1.41Mar 28, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Eduardo Palenque win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$1.33Mar 28, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Xavier Iturralde win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$1.34Mar 27, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Iturralde win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$1.30Mar 22, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats (D) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$1.30Mar 22, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 60°F or higher on March 21?$2.00Mar 22, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Philippe Veter be the next mayor of Strasbourg?$1.30Mar 22, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 21?$2.00Mar 22, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Eduardo Palenque win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$1.30Mar 22, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$1.30Mar 22, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C or higher on March 21?$2.00Mar 22, 10:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $31.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 14:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 01:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".