Mad-Campanile
0x4aafd535f6985f11632a3d2f77deb138f91ad743
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$514.78
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-8.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- UNDER
Games Total: O/U 2.5
515 shares @ 66.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$514.78
$173.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
2900 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
2300 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
484 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-280.44
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- NO
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 26 - February 1 be less than 14,250,000?
38 shares @ 74.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
23 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-11.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.12
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
6 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$64.63May 16, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$64.26May 16, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$279.70May 16, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$20.10May 16, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$42.24May 16, 10:15 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.05Feb 8, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$2.82Feb 7, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$2.94Feb 7, 23:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$3.07Feb 7, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$2.64Feb 7, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$3.06Feb 7, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$3.30Feb 7, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$2.88Feb 7, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$3.19Feb 7, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$2.88Feb 7, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$3.54Feb 7, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$3.24Feb 7, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$7.9KFeb 7, 11:29 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.07Feb 7, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$4.00Feb 6, 04:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $186.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 01:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 10:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".