Chief-Clearing-Lantern
0x4ab77ba87d86e63ed6c5d727c988bd0c8f3780f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-15.5K
Realised
$-466.41
Win rate
2%
188 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
2295 shares @ 34.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-800.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
1022 shares @ 39.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
994 shares @ 30.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
849 shares @ 35.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-299.82
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
843 shares @ 47.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
842 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
714 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
702 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-7.02
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - July 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
670 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.04
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$9.80Aug 21, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$9.80Aug 21, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$9.80Aug 21, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$9.80Aug 21, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$9.80Aug 21, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$5.17Aug 21, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$5.17Aug 21, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$9.80Aug 21, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$5.17Aug 21, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$5.17Aug 21, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$9.80Aug 21, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$5.17Aug 21, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$5.17Aug 21, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$9.80Aug 21, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$5.17Aug 21, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$5.17Aug 21, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$5.17Aug 21, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$5.17Aug 21, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$5.17Aug 21, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$5.17Aug 21, 09:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 188 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
188 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $6.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 6, 15:16 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 10:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 188 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.