Mediocre-Petal
0x4ab86a3f7168e3de10a6b6daa761ee3e1c51c5c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-77.15
Win rate
0%
59 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
50000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-49.95
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
3050 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.74
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
1327 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
1019 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
530 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?
404 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-28.30
- YES
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-07-29?
377 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-52.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins$39.09Aug 8, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$155.28Aug 8, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$71.87Aug 8, 03:39 UTC
- TRADESELLAtlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees$3.76Aug 8, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees$15.61Aug 8, 03:23 UTC
- TRADESELLToronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies$83.82Aug 8, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies$43.93Aug 7, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. New York Mets$6.53Jul 30, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLColorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres$6.14Jul 29, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres$68.35Jul 29, 20:39 UTC
- TRADESELLToronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals$68.68Jul 29, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals$55.55Jul 29, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLToronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals$11.19Jul 29, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLToronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals$1.24Jul 29, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLArizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$43.14Jul 29, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$29.42Jul 29, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals$51.25Jul 29, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$15.66Jul 29, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$4.09Jul 29, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$5.20Jul 29, 17:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 59 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
59 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $60.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 16:27 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 8, 20:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 59 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.