Clueless-Stance
0x4aba910be73fbaf43d2c8abdca7b8bb4533bf791
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$4.9K
Total PnL
$20.94
Realised
$131.35
Win rate
56%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 14?
681 shares @ 94.6¢·now 92.7¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$630.69
$-13.27
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 14?
518 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$516.82
$-0.43
- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 14?
514 shares @ 99.5¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$504.20
$-6.93
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 14?
494 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$493.02
$0.41
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 15?
375 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$374.74
$0.36
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 15?
375 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$373.05
$1.47
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 14?
352 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$348.12
$0.42
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 14?
415 shares @ 68.8¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$338.31
$52.68
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 14?
272 shares @ 63.7¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$197.26
$23.95
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 14?
187 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$183.99
$-0.75
Recent activity
- MERGEWill the price of Solana be above $70 on July 14?$20.00Jul 14, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on July 14?$0.08Jul 14, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 14?$20.86Jul 14, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 14?$30.45Jul 14, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on July 14?$0.03Jul 14, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on July 14?$0.03Jul 14, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 14?$29.92Jul 14, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on July 14?$0.01Jul 14, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 14?$9.97Jul 14, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on July 14?$0.01Jul 14, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 14?$5.61Jul 14, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 14?$1.45Jul 14, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 14?$0.48Jul 14, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on July 14?$0.09Jul 14, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 14?$30.09Jul 14, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 14?$30.16Jul 14, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on July 14?$0.03Jul 14, 04:40 UTC
- MERGEWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 14?$16.50Jul 14, 04:39 UTC
- MERGEWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 14?$16.50Jul 14, 04:39 UTC
- MERGEWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 14?$16.50Jul 14, 04:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
56% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $12.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 04:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 04:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.