Fortunate-Scimitar
0x4ac7941c14deff3be8de2ebaeb4528d162a502cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$1.94
Total PnL
$-31.83
Realised
$-1.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
39 shares @ 5.1¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.94
$-0.06
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
5500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump visit China by May 8?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 9, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 7, 2026?
840 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 11, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 8, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 10, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?
250 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
167 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?$4.12Jun 14, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?$2.06Jun 13, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$2.06Jun 13, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.06Jun 13, 19:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?$0.00May 30, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 8?$2.08May 5, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$1.49May 5, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?$1.00May 5, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 11, 2026?$1.00May 5, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 10, 2026?$1.00May 5, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 9, 2026?$2.00May 5, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 8, 2026?$1.00May 5, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 7, 2026?$1.00May 5, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$0.12May 5, 13:09 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$0.12May 5, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$2.14May 5, 12:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$1.88May 5, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$5.22May 5, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$4.66May 5, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$2.14May 5, 12:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $3.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 12:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 04:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.