Disastrous-Fire
0x4acba8d6da744addac5561f55f6e1103f1498222
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$67.00
Total PnL
$0.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?
50 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$50.00
$0.10
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
12 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$12.00
$0.02
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 25?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$5.00
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?$49.90Apr 25, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 25?$4.99Apr 23, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$11.98Apr 23, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?$39.76Apr 23, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$10.01Mar 29, 05:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chaikasem Nitisiri be the next prime minister of Thailand?$32.06Mar 29, 05:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $60 on February 14?$66.07Mar 29, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $60 on February 14?$66.00Feb 14, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$10.00Feb 14, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$4.26Feb 14, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 20?$6.01Feb 14, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$10.01Feb 14, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chaikasem Nitisiri be the next prime minister of Thailand?$32.00Jan 18, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 20?$6.00Jan 18, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$10.00Jan 18, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 4?$12.04Jan 18, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$42.04Jan 18, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$50.05Jan 18, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?$40.00Jan 4, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$42.00Jan 4, 03:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $339.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 13:52 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 20:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.