Serious-Detour
0x4acdb213a200b7f934b91653ffe94dbd3f5b5fde
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$116.27
Total PnL
$0.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
31 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$30.96
$0.06
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?
23 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$22.81
$0.11
- NO
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
22 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$21.80
$0.07
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?
18 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$18.03
$0.04
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?
12 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$12.02
$0.02
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
11 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$10.64
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$21.73Apr 29, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?$22.70Apr 28, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?$12.00Apr 28, 15:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 27?$14.06Apr 28, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?$18.00Apr 27, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$30.90Apr 27, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on April 24?$10.02Apr 27, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 20-26?$17.06Apr 27, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 April 20-26?$19.02Apr 27, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 27?$14.00Apr 26, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 25?$45.15Apr 26, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?$10.60Apr 26, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 April 20-26?$19.00Apr 25, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 20-26?$17.00Apr 25, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 25?$34.50Apr 24, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on April 24?$10.00Apr 23, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 23?$14.05Apr 23, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 23?$22.04Apr 23, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 23?$23.24Apr 23, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 23?$29.86Apr 23, 23:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $18.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 06:07 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 12:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.