Messy-Thumb
0x4ad94bceb7a745a72bae350bcb7617f2719e70c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-240.52
Realised
$5.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
3494 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-92.88
- COWBOYS
Cowboys vs. Lions
239 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-93.26
- NO
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 15+ times during the McDonald's Summit on November 17?
53 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-15.28
- CLIPPERS
Clippers vs. 76ers
35 shares @ 54.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-19.28
- NO
Will Trump say "Google" during the McDonald's Summit on November 17?
28 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Egg" or "Beef" during the McDonald's Summit on November 17?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCowboys vs. Lions$93.26Dec 4, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$93.26Dec 4, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$109.53Dec 3, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$142.13Nov 25, 18:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$142.13Nov 25, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$40.02Nov 25, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$40.02Nov 25, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYClippers vs. 76ers$4.61Nov 18, 00:53 UTC
- TRADESELLPacers vs. Pistons$4.62Nov 18, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYClippers vs. 76ers$14.67Nov 18, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacers vs. Pistons$10.00Nov 18, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Epstein" during the McDonald's Summit on November 17?$24.67Nov 18, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 15+ times during the McDonald's Summit on November 17?$15.28Nov 17, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?$15.28Nov 17, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouse passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?$67.88Nov 17, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?$67.88Nov 17, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?$15.28Nov 17, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "America" or "American" 15+ times during the McDonald's Summit on November 17?$15.28Nov 17, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?$51.59Nov 17, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Egg" or "Beef" during the McDonald's Summit on November 17?$5.00Nov 17, 22:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $51.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 17, 03:51 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 4, 18:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".