Ornery-Moccasins
0x4ad986e308c49391e8134fa3b03634de2ffbb9db
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
72
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-142.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- UP
XRP Up or Down on August 25?
25 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?
21 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September?
13 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Ahmed Al Shara in September?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
7 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- TIGERS
Tigers vs. Marlins
6 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down on August 23?
6 shares @ 50.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- CLEMSON
Syracuse vs. Clemson
6 shares @ 88.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- PADRES
Rockies vs. Padres
5 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- DREAM
Fever vs. Dream
5 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Putin by December 31?$0.44Nov 12, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$8.08Nov 12, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$3.00Nov 7, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$2.00Nov 7, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$1.32Nov 4, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$0.05Oct 26, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end October 19-22?$1.02Oct 23, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by December 31?$1.00Oct 21, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?$1.80Oct 20, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by December 31?$1.00Oct 20, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 19-22?$1.00Oct 20, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$1.00Oct 20, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$1.00Oct 20, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$1.35Oct 20, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$1.00Oct 18, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$1.02Oct 18, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$2.00Oct 17, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMAnother NATO article 4 by October 15?$2.74Oct 16, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$1.00Oct 2, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?$2.00Oct 2, 08:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 21, 06:17 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 12, 18:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".