Cluttered-Incense
0x4add0677614cf945edcc885ae9f91a62c6e98cdf
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$219.68
Total PnL
$19.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
24 shares @ 87.1¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.81
$0.81
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
22 shares @ 82.1¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.75
$0.75
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
19 shares @ 77.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.73
$0.87
- NO
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
13 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.43
$4.43
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
11 shares @ 64.1¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.91
$3.91
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 89.2¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.71
$0.71
- NO
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
13 shares @ 67.9¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$9.60
$0.60
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
10 shares @ 73.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$9.58
$2.58
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
11 shares @ 76.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.37
$1.37
- NO
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 89.5¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.20
$0.20
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? $1.00May 29, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$1.00May 29, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$2.19May 28, 23:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$1.01May 24, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$8.08May 24, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$1.01May 24, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$1.03May 24, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?$2.00May 24, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?$2.00May 24, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$10.13May 24, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$4.28May 24, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.71May 24, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$2.02May 24, 17:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $2.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".