Wallet digest

active

Activity score

54/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-6.4K

Realised

$-10.86

Win rate

60%

5 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 33

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
1571 shares @ 63.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025
$0.00
$-1.0K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
1569 shares @ 37.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025
$0.00
$-593.45
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
1317 shares @ 90.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025
$0.00
$-1.2K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
1188 shares @ 55.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025
$0.00
$-660.79
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
851 shares @ 50.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025
$0.00
$-430.55
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
639 shares @ 55.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025
$0.00
$-352.85
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
596 shares @ 41.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025
$0.00
$-245.85
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
508 shares @ 59.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025
$0.00
$-300.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
400 shares @ 51.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025
$0.00
$-205.72
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
288 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025
$0.00
$-150.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$1.0KDec 20, 07:29 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$5.00Dec 20, 07:28 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$9.00Dec 20, 07:23 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$8.00Dec 20, 07:21 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$40.00Dec 20, 07:16 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$40.00Dec 20, 07:15 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$550.00Dec 20, 07:14 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$40.00Dec 20, 07:06 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$40.00Dec 20, 07:03 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$259.85Dec 20, 07:01 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$13.00Dec 20, 07:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$126.00Dec 20, 06:45 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$54.00Dec 20, 06:28 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$0.00Dec 20, 06:25 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$18.00Dec 20, 06:14 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$3.00Dec 20, 06:12 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$82.40Dec 20, 06:12 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$28.82Dec 20, 06:12 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$60.00Dec 20, 05:58 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$24.10Dec 20, 05:48 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence17 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry94 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk55 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 48
Avg trade size: $71.42
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 19, 10:14 UTC
Last active: Dec 20, 07:29 UTC
Win rate sample: 5 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 12:42:50 UTC·src:Polymarket Data