Gray-Ruler
0x4adef6a36dc997df480b792f0b1552ac77abe09c
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-112.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Malta win Eurovision 2025?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
570 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
474 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.75
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?
210 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Sweden finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?
196 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
187 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Denver Nuggets win the Western Conference?
139 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?
108 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
85 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Vitória SC win on 2026-01-18?$2.00Jan 18, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Senegal win on 2026-01-18?$2.05Jan 18, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win on 2026-01-18?$7.00Jan 18, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win on 2026-01-18?$10.00Jan 18, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$5.75Jan 15, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$10.00Jan 15, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$10.00Jan 15, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$10.00Jan 15, 23:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?$0.00May 18, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win Eurovision 2025?$0.00May 18, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win Eurovision 2025?$5.00May 17, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Malta win Eurovision 2025?$5.00May 17, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?$0.00May 17, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMCeltics vs. Knicks$0.00May 17, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.00May 17, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?$10.00May 17, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Thunder$10.00May 17, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Knicks$12.02May 16, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Nuggets$27.03May 16, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?$5.00May 15, 23:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $9.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 22:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 21:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".