Hard-To-Find-Aquifer
0x4adf72f5dc5f1d02e80164066e1b386d95c5f97e
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$4.83
Total PnL
$-21.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
190 shares @ 3.2¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.83
$-1.25
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
2010 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
2010 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.08Mar 24, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.03Mar 24, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Great Divide - Noah Kahan be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$4.04Mar 24, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Great Divide - Noah Kahan be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.00Feb 5, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Great Divide - Noah Kahan be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$3.00Feb 5, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMUS national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$1.66Jan 8, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 8, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$1.64Dec 10, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Fate of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.00Dec 6, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$2.0KDec 6, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$1.00Dec 5, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$5.62Dec 5, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$1.0KDec 5, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$997.50Dec 5, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$2.50Dec 5, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$0.00Dec 5, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$0.00Dec 5, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$0.00Dec 5, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$0.00Dec 5, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$0.00Dec 5, 11:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $421.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 10:40 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 02:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".