Upright-Bayou
0x4ae66abad03f769901a13c1e42c156987d14d932
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-246.05
Realised
$14.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 8AM ET
1236 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on January 24?
181 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-29.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 18, 1PM ET
145 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
131 shares @ 23.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
- YES
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
130 shares @ 61.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-80.57
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
79 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?
75 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-49.60
- NO
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
61 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on January 24?$29.00Jan 24, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down on January 24?$29.58Jan 24, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on January 24?$15.30Jan 24, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLInfinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?$15.30Jan 24, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYInfinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?$19.38Jan 20, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 19, 9AM ET$4.66Jan 19, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 19, 8AM ET$1.00Jan 19, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 19, 8AM ET$1.00Jan 19, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 19, 8AM ET$1.00Jan 19, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 19, 8AM ET$5.00Jan 19, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 18, 1PM ET$1.00Jan 18, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 18, 1PM ET$1.00Jan 18, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 18, 1PM ET$1.00Jan 18, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - January 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$19.71Jan 18, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$10.00Jan 18, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1PM ET$25.64Jan 18, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1PM ET$10.52Jan 18, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$10.52Jan 16, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$9.99Jan 13, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?$49.60Jan 9, 08:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $12.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 28, 11:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 24, 16:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".