Variable-Section
0x4ae6c54a0027cb8615bc1a7a0fac838f9cf5a9ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-134.89
Realised
$-4.93
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?
3886 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US strike Colombia next?
3701 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US strike Nigeria next?
3611 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US strike Mexico next?
2630 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.51
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1667 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
1123 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US strike another country first?
955 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US strike Syria next?
946 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
692 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$13.36Apr 4, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$8.80Apr 4, 21:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 24, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 18, 00:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 8, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 7, 00:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 6, 01:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 4, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$10.00Mar 2, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$5.00Mar 2, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Somalia next?$5.00Mar 1, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?$5.00Mar 1, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US strike Yemen next?$1.10Mar 1, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US strike Mexico next?$0.70Mar 1, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US strike Mexico next?$1.65Mar 1, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hillary say "Under Oath" during her Epstein testimony?$1.80Mar 1, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US strike Cuba next?$3.53Mar 1, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hillary say "Trump" 5+ times during her Epstein testimony?$0.51Mar 1, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hillary say "Bill" or "Clinton" during her Epstein testimony?$0.63Mar 1, 06:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $7.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 13:35 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 4, 21:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.