Grizzled-Academics
0x4ae7a5c5f5051eb4dc6f251c176b8d3fce7c3999
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$435.54
Total PnL
$-84.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?
434 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$434.06
$0.87
- NO
Will Morten Messerschmidt be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Over $200M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.48
$-0.52
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
286 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-48.85
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
286 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-36.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?$433.19Mar 26, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morten Messerschmidt be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$1.00Mar 26, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $2.00 in February?$441.08Mar 26, 04:25 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on January 10?$0.00Feb 27, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in January?$0.00Feb 27, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.00 in February?$440.64Feb 27, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on January 10?$2.02Feb 27, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in January?$433.16Feb 27, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on January 10?$1.00Jan 10, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on January 10?$1.00Jan 10, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $200M raised on Coinbase in 2026?$1.00Jan 10, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in January?$429.69Jan 10, 14:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $310 before 2026?$432.02Jan 10, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $310 before 2026?$430.72Dec 15, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?$166.96Dec 15, 10:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$285.71Dec 15, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?$165.96Nov 4, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$6.00Nov 4, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$7.09Nov 4, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$7.89Nov 4, 03:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $215.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 06:57 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 26, 04:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.