Complicated-Lender
0x4af111c012899fd3d5d81e73d736f61e0de49aab
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-199.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
1378 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
1184 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30?
1088 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?
450 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
400 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?
301 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
290 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $380b and $390b on August 31?
232 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?
160 shares @ 18.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$5.00Sep 14, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model on December 31?$4.00Sep 14, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk's net worth be between $380b and $390b on August 31?$15.00Sep 14, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$5.00Sep 14, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$20.00Sep 14, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$5.00Sep 14, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$15.00Sep 14, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?$25.00Sep 14, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$20.00Sep 14, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$20.00Sep 14, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$10.00Sep 14, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30?$20.00Sep 14, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?$10.00Sep 14, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "King" or "Queen" 4+ times during the UK state banquet on September 17?$5.00Sep 14, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?$20.00Sep 14, 13:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $13.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 14, 13:22 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 14, 15:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".