Hard-Gauge
0x4af5673ea94dfff7506c47a46331d1833d2b0530
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$129.03
Total PnL
$-1.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60 shares @ 50.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$31.80
$1.80
- YES
Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
79 shares @ 31.8¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$25.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Austria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
73 shares @ 32.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$20.75
$-2.56
- YES
Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
71 shares @ 28.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$20.35
$0.35
- YES
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 34.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$16.43
$-0.50
- YES
Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$9.55
$-0.45
- YES
Will Ivory Coast reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Austria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$23.79Jun 4, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.20Jun 4, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.43Jun 4, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivory Coast reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.13Jun 4, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17.27Jun 4, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.45Jun 4, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.51Jun 4, 11:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $18.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 11:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 12:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".