Unnatural-Ceramics
0x4af638f576cf9d0eb84ad4647210afdaae893fbc
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$11.45
Total PnL
$-6.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$5.41
$3.41
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.00
$3.00
- NO
Will Andrew Cuomo drop out?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on January 31?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
RedNote removed from App Store before July?
13 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2025?
8 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by September 30?
6 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 Superheavy booster?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAnother Russian incursion in Polish airspace by September 30?$2.00Sep 15, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo drop out?$1.00Sep 15, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?$1.00Sep 15, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 achieve a successful splashdown?$1.00Sep 15, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 Superheavy booster?$1.00Sep 15, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYLord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$2.00Sep 15, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMusk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?$1.00Sep 15, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch before March?$5.56Sep 15, 21:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Coinbase list $TRUMP in January?$1.75Jan 31, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$2.00Jan 31, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$0.36Jan 18, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase list $TRUMP in January?$1.28Jan 18, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYRedNote removed from App Store before July?$3.50Jan 18, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch before March?$3.00Jan 18, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greenland vote for independence in 2025?$2.50Jan 18, 22:05 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX 7th Starship upper stage successful splash down?$0.00Jan 18, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX 7th Starship Super Heavy blows up?$2.47Jan 18, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMChopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?$7.04Jan 18, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX 7th Starship upper stage successful splash down?$0.00Jan 18, 22:01 UTC
- SPLITTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$2.00Jan 7, 12:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $1.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 12:07 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 15, 21:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.