0x4af9fd50c2e1f1c5c95b39f0d8840f31bfa0b188
0x4af9fd50c2e1f1c5c95b39f0d8840f31bfa0b188
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$120.55
Total PnL
$1.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on May 2?
30 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$29.81
$0.15
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 2?
25 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$25.22
$0.20
- NO
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
23 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$23.09
$0.81
- NO
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
19 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.07
$0.32
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 4?
17 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$16.76
$0.08
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 20, 2026?
7 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.59
$0.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 20, 2026?$6.27May 2, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$18.77May 2, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 2?$25.03May 2, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 4?$16.69May 2, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$22.28May 2, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on May 2?$29.67May 2, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$69.98May 2, 00:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$48.90May 2, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$48.75Apr 25, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?$50.01Apr 25, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$49.74Apr 21, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?$49.75Apr 21, 10:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $35.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 10:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.