Educated-Expectation
0x4afa32bf12267658d9c73880ecbc3cb1a9c882ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$29.16
Total PnL
$-187.80
Realised
$-6.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
29 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$29.16
$0.58
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
179 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
167 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
54 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-52.27
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
24 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$28.62Apr 3, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$28.63Mar 31, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$0.00Mar 31, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$0.00Mar 31, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$28.36Mar 31, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$0.00Mar 31, 14:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$28.35Mar 31, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$28.09Mar 31, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$28.09Mar 31, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$0.00Mar 31, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$27.83Mar 31, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$27.84Mar 31, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$27.58Mar 31, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$27.58Mar 31, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$27.32Mar 31, 14:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$27.32Mar 22, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$27.05Mar 22, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$27.05Mar 15, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$26.78Mar 15, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$26.78Mar 1, 04:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $24.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 12:52 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 3, 13:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".