Medium-Nest
0x4afac8bc3a3a431b5223867fbd5cd67114580ded
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$38.46
Total PnL
$-46.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Trump attend UFC 327?
38 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$38.46
$23.46
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
202 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
73 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-9.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
34 shares @ 31.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.89
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
30 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-17.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
13 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.92
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
12 shares @ 55.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$18.25Feb 19, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$18.25Feb 19, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$17.89Feb 19, 04:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$17.89Feb 19, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$13.03Feb 19, 04:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$13.03Feb 19, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$8.19Feb 19, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$0.00Feb 19, 04:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$8.19Feb 19, 04:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$0.00Feb 18, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$5.06Feb 18, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$5.06Feb 18, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$3.18Feb 18, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$5.00Feb 18, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$5.00Feb 18, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$13.18Feb 18, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$0.00Feb 18, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$1.93Feb 18, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$5.00Feb 18, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$6.25Feb 18, 07:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $6.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 06:07 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 04:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.