Mean-Manufacturer
0x4afca0b4d28e90d41b9c2a9d6dd254f57ea97e90
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
159
Open notional
$109.38
Total PnL
$-380.59
Realised
$-12.16
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 159- GERMANY
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Denmark
30 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$30.00
$8.10
- BUCKS
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)
15 shares @ 56.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$15.00
$6.56
- LAKERS
Spread: Lakers (-7.5)
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$10.00
$5.10
- BUCKS
Bucks vs. Thunder
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$5.56
$4.61
- YES
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-02-12?
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$5.00
$3.10
- NEW ZEALAND
T20 World Cup: Canada vs New Zealand (Game 1)
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$5.00
$0.25
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?
5 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$5.00
$1.50
- SLOVAKIA
Men's Group B - Italy vs. Slovakia
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$5.00
$0.45
- UNDER
Murray State Racers vs. Indiana State Sycamores: O/U 164.5
5 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$5.00
$2.40
- PORTLAND STATE VIKINGS
Portland State Vikings vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
5 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$5.00
$1.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill CF América win on 2026-02-14?$0.30Feb 15, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sevilla FC win on 2026-02-14?$1.00Feb 14, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-02-14?$0.15Feb 14, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$0.42Feb 14, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$0.35Feb 14, 01:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-02-13?$0.55Feb 14, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLMount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Rider Broncs$0.20Feb 14, 01:29 UTC
- TRADESELLMen's Group A - Canada vs. Switzerland$0.24Feb 13, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLRotterdam Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Felix Auger-Aliassime$0.10Feb 13, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYRotterdam Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Felix Auger-Aliassime$1.60Feb 13, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYColumbia Lions vs. Penn Quakers: O/U 146.5$2.88Feb 13, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 17?$4.86Feb 13, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Rider Broncs$1.55Feb 13, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLMen's Group B - Finland vs. Sweden$1.00Feb 13, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrail Blazers vs. Jazz$0.54Feb 13, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLTrail Blazers vs. Jazz$1.00Feb 13, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Lakers (-7.5)$2.25Feb 13, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBucks vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5$0.17Feb 13, 01:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBucks vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5$1.53Feb 13, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-02-13?$1.80Feb 12, 21:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 14:05 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 15, 03:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".