Muted-Incubation
0x4afde11a0ceae6800fd9c16dd397da23873c1608
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-646.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - November 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
288 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-144.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1AM ET
138 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-69.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 6, 5AM ET
103 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-51.68
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
102 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-51.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - December 16, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
66 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-33.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 20, 10PM ET
57 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-28.50
- UP
Solana Up or Down - December 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
56 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-28.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 18, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
56 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
55 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-27.50
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - November 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
52 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-26.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpread: Paraguay (-2.5)$100.00Jun 13, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Paraguay (-2.5)$98.25Jun 13, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$35.99May 15, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$2.74May 15, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$1.48May 15, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$3.46May 15, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$9.60May 15, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $3.00 in April?$169.80May 15, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.00 in April?$34.46Apr 18, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.00 in April?$38.61Apr 13, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.00 in April?$95.03Apr 13, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$32.00Apr 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$15.04Apr 10, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on April 8?$151.20Apr 10, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 8?$8.28Apr 8, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 8?$141.86Apr 8, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid reach $52 in March?$150.19Apr 7, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid reach $52 in March?$149.89Mar 31, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - March 27, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$26.00Mar 31, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - March 27, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$8.00Mar 27, 07:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $533.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 11:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 03:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.