Confused-Snuggle
0x4b029757d278409c5db5660dacd64b97145dbb34
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
50
Open notional
$0.45
Total PnL
$-65.50
Realised
$0.95
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.39
$-0.61
- YES
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
13 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.05
$-0.95
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the ECB announce an increase at the September meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in August?
154 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Another US military action against Iran before August?
61 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$0.00Feb 14, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$0.00Feb 14, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$1.09Feb 14, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$1.00Feb 14, 23:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$0.00Feb 14, 23:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$0.00Feb 14, 23:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$1.24Feb 14, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$1.00Feb 14, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$1.04Feb 14, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$1.00Feb 14, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$1.00Feb 14, 22:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$0.00Feb 14, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$1.15Feb 14, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$1.00Feb 14, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.83Feb 14, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$1.10Feb 14, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$1.00Feb 14, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.00Feb 14, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.59Feb 14, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.00Feb 14, 22:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 14, 17:25 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 14, 23:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".