Vague-Worry
0x4b04b65ab3b83f8b6fdc63eaa04afbb0a8035f0a
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$16.90
Total PnL
$-9.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.81
$0.81
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
7 shares @ 74.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$3.48
$-1.52
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.54
$-2.46
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
8 shares @ 64.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.23
$-2.77
- YES
Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.92
$0.92
- NO
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
7 shares @ 68.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.92
$-4.08
Recent activity
- TRADESELLEdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?$4.45Mar 31, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $300M one day after launch?$5.00Mar 25, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?$5.00Mar 25, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$5.00Mar 25, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?$5.00Mar 25, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $75M one day after launch?$1.00Mar 25, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?$5.00Mar 20, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?$5.00Mar 20, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$51.19Mar 20, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$50.00Mar 14, 13:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $9.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 13:08 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 19:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.