Austere-Accusation
0x4b0566e3811a1f544180c700edaca30582fecccc
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$20.00
Total PnL
$-338.26
Realised
$-157.72
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?
20 shares @ 21.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$20.00
$15.80
- YES
Will Russia enter Huliaipole by November 30?
524 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-62.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?
167 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-102.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
37 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-18.33
- NO
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
23 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?$0.87Jan 31, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?$57.00Dec 30, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Toretske by January 31?$57.05Dec 30, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Toretske by January 31?$61.00Dec 27, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Huliaipole by January 15?$40.56Dec 27, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?$2.69Dec 26, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?$22.00Dec 26, 05:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?$4.07Dec 26, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?$33.92Dec 26, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?$13.70Dec 21, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?$15.46Dec 21, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Huliaipole by January 15?$33.00Dec 20, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?$32.22Dec 20, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?$33.00Dec 19, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?$30.00Dec 19, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?$25.79Dec 19, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?$36.00Dec 12, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?$30.00Dec 11, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Siversk by December 22?$98.27Dec 11, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Siversk by December 22?$80.00Dec 11, 05:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $36.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 04:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 13:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.