Cautious-Reduction
0x4b08a87221419bcfcd9a123fa4407104f780ccfc
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
124
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$161.22
Win rate
88%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 124- YES
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?
6859 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-75.45
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 22?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10AM ET
1032 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
916 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-170.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
645 shares @ 54.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-350.57
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 21?
614 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
374 shares @ 21.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-81.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$5.61Apr 9, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 10?$6.01Apr 9, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$0.00Apr 9, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$2.87Apr 8, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$10.00Apr 8, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$13.52Apr 8, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$14.19Apr 8, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$5.00Apr 8, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$11.97Apr 8, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$7.60Apr 8, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$13.48Apr 8, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$5.00Apr 8, 14:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$14.58Apr 8, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$10.83Apr 8, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$15.42Apr 8, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$4.60Apr 8, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$4.90Apr 8, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$12.50Apr 8, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$2.60Apr 8, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$12.55Apr 8, 13:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $9.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 23:21 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 09:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".