Muddy-Sorrow
0x4b0ce0d0793aeed101d1edf964142484b790cd1c
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$165.45
Total PnL
$-4.07
Realised
$0.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
51 shares @ 97.8¢·now 98.1¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$50.03
$0.15
- NO
Will Fomo launch a token by June 30 2026?
51 shares @ 95.8¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$49.19
$0.33
- NO
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
51 shares @ 97.0¢·now 87.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$44.50
$-4.97
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat?
23 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$21.73
$0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Fomo launch a token by June 30 2026?$48.86May 15, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$43.31May 14, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$6.57May 14, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$49.47May 14, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$50.34May 10, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat?$28.50May 10, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat?$49.82May 8, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?$50.29May 6, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$50.29May 5, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?$49.98May 5, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1m barrels per day in 2026?$50.76May 4, 21:34 UTC
- TRADESELLMike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30?$6.19May 4, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1m barrels per day in 2026?$50.22May 1, 12:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?$46.99May 1, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLMike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30?$13.13May 1, 05:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?$4.29Apr 30, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?$4.29Apr 30, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?$8.59Apr 30, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?$34.17Apr 30, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?$8.27Apr 30, 13:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $137.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 31, 06:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 13:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".