Sneaky-Probability
0x4b0e49b7853bda518aea745ed87f27a07b0dcd0a
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
122
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-20.1K
Realised
$290.12
Win rate
76%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 122- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 5AM ET
848 shares @ 50.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-430.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11PM ET
775 shares @ 50.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-394.82
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8AM ET
714 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-364.44
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11PM ET
588 shares @ 50.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-299.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11PM ET
534 shares @ 18.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 9AM ET
531 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2025$0.00
$-249.69
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 1AM ET
504 shares @ 49.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 10PM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6AM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 12AM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 13, 9PM ET$200.00Dec 14, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 9PM ET$200.00Dec 13, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 11AM ET$29.42Dec 12, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 11AM ET$28.18Dec 12, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 11AM ET$85.41Dec 12, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 11AM ET$93.50Dec 12, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 11AM ET$84.00Dec 12, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 11AM ET$19.32Dec 12, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 11AM ET$70.00Dec 12, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 11AM ET$249.87Dec 12, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 9AM ET$249.68Dec 12, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 5AM ET$248.48Dec 12, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 2AM ET$50.00Dec 12, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 2AM ET$25.50Dec 12, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 1AM ET$250.00Dec 12, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 12AM ET$50.50Dec 12, 05:28 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 12AM ET$4.30Dec 12, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 12AM ET$8.60Dec 12, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 12AM ET$64.50Dec 12, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 12AM ET$8.60Dec 12, 05:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $77.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 06:55 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 14, 01:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".