Big-Philosophy
0x4b110eb9771d97c168fc20160a164e2b1d1b8625
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$502.24
Total PnL
$-377.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
500 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$500.00
$350.00
- NO
Will DOGE balance the budget in 2025?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.24
$0.18
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
1000 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
1000 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?
820 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-68.60
- YES
Trump positive favorability on Day 100?
450 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?
400 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?
400 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?
400 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?$16.98Aug 12, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?$0.52Aug 9, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?$2.50Aug 6, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?$8.22Apr 18, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?$2.00Apr 17, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?$1.50Apr 16, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?$28.16Apr 16, 22:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$0.00Apr 9, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMTrump positive favorability on March 1?$0.00Apr 9, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill DOGE cut $1B from USAID before March?$0.00Apr 9, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMTrump positive favorability on April 1?$0.00Apr 9, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?$0.00Apr 9, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$0.00Apr 9, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DOGE balance the budget in 2025?$1.32Apr 9, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DOGE balance the budget in 2025?$0.74Apr 9, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?$113.08Apr 2, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?$0.14Apr 2, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?$6.78Apr 2, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$250.00Mar 23, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?$16.75Mar 14, 20:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $26.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 13:08 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 15:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".