Average-Script
0x4b12d7bea65b9e24276bd19ef79f1ecb0e33a440
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-263.36
Realised
$-10.27
Win rate
33%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
1605 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will the AfD win more than 26% of the vote in the German election?
827 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
758 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?
350 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-12.98
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
255 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-42.44
- YES
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?
200 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-16.77
- YES
Will the Steelers win the AFC Championship?
200 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
100 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
50 shares @ 31.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.85
- YES
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$62.51Jan 31, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMSBF released from custody in 2025?$40.00Jan 29, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$10.69Jan 29, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$5.21Jan 29, 23:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$5.49Jan 28, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$25.88Jan 22, 20:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$8.00Jan 22, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$25.00Dec 15, 21:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$14.70Dec 15, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$35.00Dec 9, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?$14.77Dec 9, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSBF released from custody in 2025?$36.60Oct 25, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Steelers win the AFC Championship?$15.00Oct 13, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?$55.45Oct 3, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$22.44Sep 28, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$20.00Sep 15, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.35Sep 15, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025? $1.93Sep 15, 21:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025? $5.85Jun 25, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$33.00Jun 25, 15:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $19.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 30, 12:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 14:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".