Authentic-Beating
0x4b16d83d624b604d207074379495055700f16dd6
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-21.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 28?
231 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
133 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will XRP reach $3.20 in October?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$0.00Mar 15, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$0.00Mar 15, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$0.00Mar 15, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$1.89Mar 15, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.00Mar 15, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$1.19Mar 15, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1.36Mar 15, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$1.52Mar 15, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$1.00Mar 15, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.00Mar 15, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1.00Mar 15, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$1.00Mar 15, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$0.00Mar 15, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$1.00Mar 15, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$1.00Mar 15, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$0.00Mar 15, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$1.00Mar 15, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$1.00Mar 15, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$2.34Mar 15, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$2.00Mar 15, 06:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $4.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 6, 04:24 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 08:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.