Sane-Cream
0x4b17386d4e38f918a1eab29ce253735cce31958d
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$3.05
Total PnL
$-20.94
Realised
$-0.62
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2025?
3 shares @ 32.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.05
$2.05
- NO
Earthquake 7.0 or above by September 30?
17 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?
13 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea"?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel"?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil"?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the ECB announce no change at the October meeting?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico"?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?$1.00Sep 10, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the ECB announce no change at the September meeting?$1.45Sep 10, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?$3.09Sep 10, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?$1.00Sep 7, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$0.19Sep 7, 22:50 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by September meeting?$0.21Sep 7, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$0.19Sep 7, 22:48 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$0.67Sep 7, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the October meeting?$1.00Aug 25, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?$1.00Aug 25, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the September meeting?$1.00Aug 25, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?$1.00Aug 25, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?$1.00Aug 25, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?$1.25Aug 25, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?$2.00Aug 25, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit China in 2025?$1.50Aug 25, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files?$1.00Aug 23, 15:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files?$3.45Aug 23, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?$1.00Aug 21, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the September meeting?$1.00Aug 21, 17:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 2, 11:19 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 10, 18:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".