Grotesque-Cello
0x4b18c38e2d20b44d167258b7485b9592f35bc4b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 2.25% or more?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump tweet 35-39 times Nov 22-29?
983 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will IF Elfsborg beat Athletic Bilbao?
450 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2024$0.00
$-0.45
- YES
Will Minnesota be the closest state?
300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win Hawaii by the largest margin?
250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 7.0-8.0%?
250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Arizona by 1.0%-2.0%?
250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
Will Galatasaray beat AZ Alkmaar?
250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2024$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
Will FK Qarabag beat Lyon?
250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2024$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
Will Republicans have between 225 and 229 seats in House after election?
250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$0.25Dec 12, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Game 14 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?$0.01Dec 12, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump get 82-84m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?$0.01Dec 11, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Minnesota be the closest state?$0.30Nov 29, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win Hawaii by the largest margin?$0.25Nov 29, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match between Ferencvaros and Malmo end in a draw?$0.25Nov 28, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFS beat PAOK?$0.25Nov 28, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans have between 225 and 229 seats in House after election?$0.25Nov 28, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IF Elfsborg beat Athletic Bilbao?$0.45Nov 28, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican candidate win Iowa by 7.0-8.0%? $0.25Nov 28, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican candidate win Arizona by 1.0%-2.0%?$0.25Nov 28, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Porto beat Anderlecht?$0.25Nov 28, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 25 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?$0.25Nov 28, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Qarabag beat Lyon?$0.25Nov 28, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray beat AZ Alkmaar?$0.25Nov 28, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lazio beat Ludogorets?$0.25Nov 28, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid not launch a token in 2024?$0.20Nov 28, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$0.25Nov 28, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 2.25% or more?$1.00Nov 28, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump tweet 35-39 times Nov 22-29?$1.00Nov 28, 16:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $0.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 28, 16:13 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 12, 16:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".