Insidious-Cassava
0x4b1c5efbc2bb1e04e73e23167ee6dd87dbe3320e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-6.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
3511 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-85.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
2333 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-392.03
- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?
1901 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
1441 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-70.35
- YES
Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?
1400 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-49.99
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
1161 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-49.99
- YES
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
1000 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-56.52
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?
905 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2025$0.00
$-67.26
- YES
Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
738 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?
652 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUkraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?$100.00Oct 17, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?$14.85Oct 13, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Eight Wars" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?$85.14Oct 13, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?$49.99Oct 13, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?$125.00Oct 13, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Eight Wars" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?$50.29Oct 13, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?$135.29Oct 13, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?$10.00Oct 13, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?$50.00Oct 11, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$14.35Oct 9, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$56.52Oct 9, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$56.00Oct 6, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?$56.00Oct 6, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?$87.50Oct 4, 06:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$87.50Sep 10, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$142.04Aug 1, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$142.04Aug 1, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$150.00Jul 30, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$50.00Jul 17, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$100.00Jul 17, 06:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $60.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 13:17 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 17, 13:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.