Mellow-Volunteering
0x4b1cccbc78cb82d2eae35f67e314d3f94dca3c7b
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Dec 27-Jan 3?
1010 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will Trevor Lawrence win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
1010 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 3-Jan 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 9 of the World Chess Championship?
300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2024$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?
300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will USR win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?
270 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2024$0.00
$-0.27
- YES
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times Nov 29-Dec 6?
260 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2024$0.00
$-0.26
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 1.75-2.0%?
250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
Will Trump get 72-74m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
240 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.24
- YES
Will Kamala Harris get 86-88m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
240 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 3-Jan 10?$1.00Jan 7, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 350-374 times Dec 27-Jan 3?$1.01Jan 3, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trevor Lawrence win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$1.01Dec 30, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?$0.10Dec 14, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 6-13?$0.22Dec 12, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump get 72-74m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?$0.24Dec 11, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. win 4-5% of the popular vote?$0.24Dec 9, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris get 86-88m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?$0.24Dec 6, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 9 of the World Chess Championship?$0.30Dec 5, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 525-549 times Nov 29-Dec 6?$0.26Dec 4, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 1.75-2.0%?$0.25Dec 3, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USR win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?$0.27Dec 3, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?$0.30Dec 3, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans have fewer than 200 seats in House after election?$0.22Dec 3, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 7 of the World Chess Championship$0.20Dec 3, 16:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $0.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 16:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 7, 14:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".