0x4b1d85e79acc126f215361dc8d6c64069b08a1e3
0x4b1d85e79acc126f215361dc8d6c64069b08a1e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-457.48
Realised
$-100.15
Win rate
28%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?
306 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-78.18
- NO
Will "Ricky Gervais: Mortality" win Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television?
104 shares @ 32.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-33.53
- NO
Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?
100 shares @ 30.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-30.68
- NO
Will Wintrust Financial (WTFC) beat quarterly earnings?
100 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-37.00
- NO
Will Rhea Seehorn (Pluribus) win Best Actress – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
100 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-20.82
- NO
Will Halliburton (HAL) beat quarterly earnings?
100 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will André Ventura win between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round?
99 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-11.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -2°C or below on January 17?
94 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.34
- NO
Will One Battle After Another win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?
83 shares @ 43.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-36.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C or higher on January 18?
69 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.71
Recent activity
- REWARD$2.24Jan 24, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of January?$0.02Jan 23, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of January?$0.06Jan 23, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Noah Wyle (The Pitt) win Best Actor – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?$1.00Jan 23, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amy Madigan (Weapons) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?$5.01Jan 23, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$7.17Jan 23, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -2°C on January 16?$8.25Jan 23, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 18?$9.00Jan 23, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stephen Graham (Adolescence) win Best Actor – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?$14.28Jan 23, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 17?$22.50Jan 23, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stellan Skarsgard (Sentimental Value) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?$37.65Jan 23, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Timothee Chalamet (Marty Supreme) win Best Actor – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?$92.34Jan 23, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?$99.06Jan 23, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Good Hang with Amy Poehler win Best Podcast at the 83rd Golden Globes?$99.99Jan 23, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Noah Wyle (The Pitt) win Best Actor – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?$0.00Jan 23, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amy Madigan (Weapons) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?$0.00Jan 23, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$0.00Jan 23, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -2°C on January 16?$0.00Jan 23, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 18?$0.00Jan 23, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stephen Graham (Adolescence) win Best Actor – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?$0.00Jan 23, 19:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $9.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 19:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 24, 00:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".