Plain-Parcel
0x4b1ff6f5a31a2d6d36d5b72ed9b982a0b44a4a07
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$370.00
Total PnL
$-414.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?
370 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$370.00
$7.03
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
1500 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-275.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
700 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-147.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussian strike on a NATO member by March 31?$362.97Mar 24, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?$0.00Mar 24, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$180.00Mar 24, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$410.00Mar 24, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$95.00Mar 22, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$0.00Mar 22, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$0.00Mar 22, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$410.00Mar 22, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$620.00Feb 10, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$379.20Feb 9, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$120.00Feb 9, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$96.00Feb 9, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$35.00Dec 10, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$58.73Dec 8, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$5.67Dec 8, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$54.18Dec 8, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$12.18Dec 8, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$16.24Dec 8, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$566.46Dec 3, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$11.23Dec 1, 17:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $296.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 08:10 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 20:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.