Juvenile-Greatgrandmother
0x4b24296160b2771947c7009e850720d251b64598
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$4.17
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
103 shares @ 9.7¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.17
$-5.83
- YES
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?
2786 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-304.47
- YES
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2491 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-215.52
- YES
Maduro out in 2025?
2053 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-283.81
- YES
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
1766 shares @ 28.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- NO
Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
1043 shares @ 28.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
873 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-259.71
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?
627 shares @ 47.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
549 shares @ 18.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
525 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-283.71
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?$10.00May 24, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?$200.00Jan 9, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?$9.00Jan 9, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?$59.71Jan 7, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?$300.00Jan 4, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$100.00Dec 19, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$115.52Dec 2, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$100.00Dec 2, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$100.00Dec 1, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$100.00Dec 1, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$200.00Dec 1, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$10.00Dec 1, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$20.00Dec 1, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$625.52Dec 1, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$482.04Nov 30, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Atletico Madrid (-1.5)$0.00Nov 30, 10:19 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Atletico Madrid (-1.5)$457.92Nov 30, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Atletico Madrid (-1.5)$260.00Nov 29, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$283.81Nov 17, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?$66.11Oct 30, 08:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $146.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 13, 19:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 17:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.