Drafty-Commander
0x4b251098b0e7b503406b8e227183bbee8e894884
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-733.28
Win rate
0%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12AM ET
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
645 shares @ 62.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-400.64
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
400 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
398 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-119.31
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
250 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-110.06
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
238 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
208 shares @ 38.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
190 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-106.34
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
189 shares @ 57.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-107.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
188 shares @ 53.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$109.62Jul 21, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$0.00Jul 21, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$19.97Jul 21, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$19.94Jul 21, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$10.92Jul 21, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$0.01Jul 21, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$10.96Jul 21, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$5.29Jul 21, 12:46 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$5.33Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$104.45Jul 20, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$115.07Jul 20, 21:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$0.00Jul 20, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$205.37Jul 20, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$10.41Jul 20, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$103.43Jul 20, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$0.00Jul 20, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$51.54Jul 20, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$59.99Jul 20, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$103.50Jul 20, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$367.38Jul 20, 20:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $101.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 17:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 13:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.