0x4b27820f2e627a51d08832c7adef074103dc51f3
0x4b27820f2e627a51d08832c7adef074103dc51f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.5% and 46.9% on April 4?
900 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-252.00
- NO
Will Trump's approval rating be between 45.5% and 45.9% on April 11?
835 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2025$0.00
$-576.15
- YES
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during NRCC Dinner on April 8?
790 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2025$0.00
$-268.60
- NO
Will Trump announce tariffs on Japan on April 2?
720 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2025$0.00
$-28.80
- CHENNAI
Chennai Super Kings vs. Kolkata Knight Riders
500 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2025$0.00
$-220.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80000 and $82000 on Apr 11?
450 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2025$0.00
$-202.50
- YES
Will Bolivia beat Uruguay?
340 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2025$0.00
$-115.60
- NO
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-04-10?
275 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2025$0.00
$-198.00
- YES
Will Emanuel Sharp lead the 2025 NCAA Championship game in scoring?
195 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2025$0.00
$-31.20
- YES
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 3?
90 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.33
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Browns draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?$5.00Apr 28, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Browns draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?$1.15Apr 23, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYChennai Super Kings vs. Kolkata Knight Riders$220.00Apr 11, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be between 45.5% and 45.9% on April 11?$393.30Apr 11, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be between 45.5% and 45.9% on April 11?$48.30Apr 11, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be between 45.5% and 45.9% on April 11?$134.55Apr 11, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80000 and $82000 on Apr 11?$33.75Apr 11, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80000 and $82000 on Apr 11?$38.25Apr 11, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80000 and $82000 on Apr 11?$130.50Apr 11, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in March?$1.0KApr 11, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUEFA Europa League: Lyon vs. Man United (To Advance)$2.00Apr 9, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-04-10?$194.40Apr 9, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-04-10?$3.60Apr 9, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in March?$70.00Apr 9, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in March?$210.00Apr 9, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in March?$14.00Apr 9, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in March?$406.00Apr 9, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMTeam from West wins March Madness?$900.00Apr 9, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during NRCC Dinner on April 8?$268.60Apr 8, 05:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Job" 15+ times during NRCC Dinner on April 8?$268.40Apr 8, 04:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $107.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 14:17 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 02:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.